Dear Mr. Buffett: What An
Investor Learns 1,269 Miles From Wall Street
(Hardcover)
by Janet M. Tavakoli
Review
Morgan Stanley's David M. Darst on
Dear Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269 Miles from
Wall Street
In 14 Chapters, 265 pages, and 443 footnotes drawing
upon 119 sources, structured finance and derivatives consultant
and expert witness Janet M. Tavakoli writes about her “meeting
with Warren Buffett on the eve of the greatest market meltdown
in history” and how meeting him subtly changed the way she
looks at global financial markets.
But Dear Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269
Miles from Wall Street is much more than a personal
investing bildungsroman. The book is so loaded with
lessons, warnings, admonishments, and recommendations that
readers will find themselves copiously underlining the text and
filling the margins with stars, checkmarks, and exclamation
points. Dear Mr. Buffett is wide ranging and hard
hitting, written with humility, great specificity, honesty,
humanity, and historical awareness.
Captious (or offended) readers may criticize the book as:
too harsh in parts; overly broad-brush in its treatment of
micro and macro events; and possibly bordering on solipsism
when Tavakoli frequently cites her own articles, letters,
e-mail exchanges, telephone conversations, and television
appearances. Serious financial debacles in the post-Millennium
years have left plenty of blame to be apportioned among firms,
regulators, the financial system, and let’s face it, human
nature, and though polite and deferential, Tavakoli (called by
Business Week “the Cassandra of credit derivatives”) is not
reticent. At times, her tone can be Biblically prophetic.
That said, Dear Mr.
Buffett is worth its weight in gold for two main
reasons. First, the timeless investment lessons laced
throughout the book. To cite a few:
- Warren does not rely on a price because that is what
you pay. He relies on value because that is what you get
(page 23).
- The five most dangerous words in business may be
“Everybody else is doing it” (page 38).
- Janet Tavakoli’s Theory of Everything in Finance: The
value of any financial transaction is based on the timing
of cash flows, the frequency of cash flows, the magnitude
of cash flows, and the probability of receipt of those cash
flows (page 69).
- One of Warren Buffet’s core principles: Don’t lend
money to people who can’t pay you back. If you do not
understand something, do not invest (page 105).
- The fraud triangle: need, opportunity, and the ability
to rationalize one’s behavior (page 199).
Second, the book contains lucid, lapidary descriptions of
options backdating (Chapter 3); mortgages (Chapter 5); complex
structured products, securitizations, and off-balance sheet
vehicles (Chapter 7); and the perils of leverage and the
developments leading to the difficulties at Bear Stearns,
Lehman Brothers, and other financial enterprises (Chapters 8
and 9).
Parts of the book read like replaying a YouTube video of a
hurricane. Whether or not you agree with Tavakoli in all cases
on the details and/or her approach, what comes through in every
sentence is her conviction and courage in recounting what
happened and her creativity and concretization in proposing
safeguards and solutions. In the Preface, she says she is
“still learning,” and the financial realm stands the richer
from her energy, discernment, persistence, erudition,
curiosity, insight, and human empathy.
Read this book as soon as you can. As Warren Edward Buffett
has said, “Janet Tavakoli should have been listened to much
more carefully in the past… and will be in the
future.”
David M. Darst is a Managing Director at Morgan Stanley.
He serves as Chief Investment Strategist of the firm's Global
Wealth Management Group and is the Chairman of the Asset
Allocation Committee. Darst is also the founding president of
the Morgan Stanley Investment Group. Prior to joining Morgan
Stanley in 1996, he was with Goldman Sachs for over twenty
years, where he served as a senior executive in the Equities
Division. Darst is often quoted in the New York Times, Wall
Street Journal, and Financial Times, among others. He is also a
frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and FOX News. He earned his
MBA from Harvard Business School and received a BA in economics
from Yale University. Darst is a CFA charterholder.
Product Description
Janet Tavakoli takes you into the world of Warren Buffett by
way of the recent mortgage meltdown. In correspondence and
discussion with him over 2 years, they both saw the writing on
the wall, made clear by the implosion of Bear Stearns.
Tavakoli, in clear and engaging prose, explains how the credit
mess happened beginning with the mortgage lending Ponzi schemes
funded by investment banks, the Fed bailout and its impact on
the dollar. Through her narrative, we hear from Warren Buffett
and learn how his enduring principles caused him to see the
mess that was coming well in advance and kept him and his
investors well out of the way.
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